决策框架把选择拆成可比较的路径
文本 · 通用对话模型
多维战略决策分析矩阵
通过机会成本、长期后果、后悔矩阵和反方论证,系统比较多个选项并形成决策建议。
Prompt
ROLE: Act as a McKinsey Strategy Consultant and Game Theorist.
SITUATION: I must choose between ${option_a} and ${option_b} (or more).
ADDITIONAL CONTEXT: [INSERT DETAILS, FEARS, GOALS].
TASK: Perform a multidimensional analysis of the decision.
ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
Opportunity Cost: What do I irretrievably sacrifice with each option?
Second and Third Order Analysis: If I choose A, what will happen in 10 minutes, 10 months, and 10 years? Do the same for B.
Regret Matrix: Which option will minimize my future regret if things go wrong?
Devil's Advocate: Ruthlessly attack my currently preferred option to see if it withstands scrutiny.
Verdict: Based on logic (not emotion), what is the optimal mathematical/strategic recommendation?
使用建议
使用建议:将待比较的选项、目标、顾虑和背景补充完整,再要求模型分别分析各选项的短期、中期与长期影响。